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Flash News: Carrie Meek, the grandchild of a slave and pioneering Black former congresswoman, dies at 95      - | -     Fauci says new variant omicron might 'evade immune protection'      - | -     Police report 'some fatalities' after more than 20 people were injured when SUV drives through Wisconsin parade      - | -     Austria back in lockdown as protests erupt over COVID restrictions in Austria, Italy, Croatia      - | -     Colorado pilot killed while fighting a wildfire near Estes Park reported turbulent conditions moments before the crash      - | -     Florida legislature sends four COVID-19 vaccine bills to Gov. DeSantis      - | -     Biden says Taiwan's independence is up to Taiwan after meeting with Xi and Clarifies US 'won't Change' Its Policy On Taipei      - | -     The FDA Could Authorize COVID-19 Booster Shots For All Adults to be available by weekend      - | -     NYC moves ahead with boosters for all as FDA deliberates      - | -     6 teens from Aurora Central High School were hospitalized after a shooting near Colorado high school      - | -     9-year-old Dallas boy dies after Astroworld festival crush; death toll rises to 10      - | -     Colorado works to curb superspreader events, announces vaccine mandate as Mountain West states grapple with a surge      - | -     Attorney: 'We don't want any more Black pastors coming in here'      - | -     New infections on the rise in most states; Vaccinated Vikings player hospitalized with COVID-19 issues      - | -     Vaccine misinformation widely believed, polling shows; Pfizer CEO Calls People Who Spread Misinformation About COVID Vaccines ‘Criminals’     - | -     Part of Tomb of the Unknown Soldier opens to the public for the first time in nearly a century     - | -     At least 1 dead in Alaska grocery store shooting, authorities say; suspect in custody and charged with murder      - | -     Biden administration waives immigration-related fees for thousands of evacuated Afghans      - | -     NYPD Commissioner Warns More Guns on Street 'Last Thing We Need' as SCOTUS Mulls Permit Law      - | -     The United States for a surge of vaccinated international travelers from Monday      - | -     Gov. Doug Ducey says Arizona won't stop using COVID money for anti-mask grants     - | -     DOJ targets Texas again, Sues Texas Over Voting Bill, Alleging It Violates Civil Rights Act     - | -     The US gives final approval of Pfizer's Covid-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11      - | -     Michelle Wu becomes the first woman, a person of color elected as Boston mayor      - | -     States prepare to receive pediatric Pfizer-BioNTech doses ahead of full approval for ages 5-11: COVID-19 updates      - | -     Charleston church shooting victims, DOJ reach $88M settlement over white nationalist's gun      - | -     Remains found in California desert identified as Lauren Cho, missing N.J. woman      - | -     Vladimir Putin Drives Down Europe Gas Prices By Ordering Company to Supply Austria, Germany      - | -     Florida school district that defied governor on mask rules will end requirement for its high schools      - | -     Blinken says he ordered reviews of State Dept's evacuation efforts out of Afghanistan      - | -     Saudi, UAE summon Lebanon envoys over minister's Yemen war remarks      - | -     Biden easily won Virginia. Why is McAuliffe struggling?      - | -     Protest Over 'Unsettling' Antisemitic 'Vax the Jews' Banner Hung on Texas Bridge      - | -     'Unite the Right' rally's planners accused in civil trial      - | -     Tokyo's Government Is Finally Saying Goodbye to the Floppy Disk      - | -     Google pays fines to Russia over banned content      - | -     Amid the Capitol riot, Facebook faced its own insurrection      - | -     Los Angeles observes 150 years since one of the largest lynchings in American history      - | -     Deadly bacteria found in aromatherapy product sold at Walmart      - | -     Every day, Biden smells like more of a loser      - | -     Army reservist with 'Hitler mustache' demoted, discharged after Jan. 6 charges      - | -     Troubled developer Evergrande to resume trading, warns of financial obligations      - | -     Britain has more new cases than France, Germany, Italy and Spain combined      - | -     Alyssa Milano says she was arrested at voting rights demonstration outside White House      - | -     Click to Pray 2.0 - Vatican app gets up close and personal with God      - | -     Jan. 6 committee to hold contempt vote for Steve Bannon over subpoena refusal      - | -     Why is Trump undermining his administration's historic China policies?      - | -     Religious exemptions threaten to undermine US Covid vaccine mandates      - | -     U.S. Supreme Court again protects police accused of excessive force      - | -     Biden PFAS plan puts chemical industry’s feet to the fire      - | -     A pandemic of hyper-hypocrisy is infecting American politics      - | -     Havana Syndrome is a mystery illness with 200-plus documented cases. Lawmakers are demanding action.      - | -     The root of Joe Biden's troubles      - | -     The Johnson & Johnson one-dose vaccine offers good protection now. A booster shot will maximize that, experts say      - | -     China's new hypersonic missile demonstrated an advanced space capability that caught US intelligence by surprise, report says      - | -     At least 15 dead and dozens missing in India floods      - | -     Ancient eel-like creature is named after Black Sabbath's Tony Iommi     - | -     Hacking incidents that took place in 2016 Presidential Election between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton     - | -     Pennsylvania attorney general Josh Shapiro announces he's running for governor     - | -     Back-to-school gun violence was the highest on record. Active shooter drills may not be the answer     - | -     Several asteroids bigger than the Great Pyramid of Giza will approach Earth starting Friday      - | -     The next big cyberthreat isn't ransomware. It's killware. And it's just as bad as it sounds.      - | -     California launches investigation into oil spill      - | -     Someone needs to remind Greg Abbott he is a conservative      - | -     Navy engineer accused of trying to pass intel in peanut butter sandwich      - | -     What would a Covid memorial look like? Designers share ideas for 'unprecedented' tribute      - | -     Facebook unveils new controls for kids using its platforms      - | -     China Calls India 'Unreasonable' as Nations Fail to Deescalate Border Tensions in Talks      - | -     The Biden-Harris train wreck may have its savior: 2024 GOP nominee Donald Trump      - | -     President Schumer or President Manchin?      - | -     Why world's top virologist cautions India against reopening      - | -     NASA's asteroid spacecraft Lucy launches this week on ambitious 12-year mission      - | -     Paralyzed Texas cheerleader Makayla Noble put back on ventilator, fitted with feeding tube      - | -     Former Trump press aide: We went to Fox News 'to get what we wanted out'      - | -     Biden is the wrong leader for America      - | -     Sex and the City spin-off confirmed for December      - | -     Covid is killing rural Americans at twice the rate of people in urban areas      - | -     How podcasts have become the backbone for white supremacist recruiting      - | -     Apple Watch flags multiple types of irregular heartbeats, study shows      - | -     Shakira says she was attacked by a pair of wild boars      - | -     Texas nurse killed 4 patients, prosecutors allege      - | -     Russia threatens to block YouTube as confrontation with Google escalates      - | -     Britney Spears' lawyers push for end to father's control ahead of hearing      - | -     The big idea - Combining an HIV vaccine with immunotherapy may reduce the need for daily medication      - | -     Predicting the future isn’t magic anymore! AI in Marketing      - | -     The majority of unvaccinated Americans believe boosters prove COVID vaccines don't work      - | -     Milley defends calls to Chinese at end of Trump presidency      - | -     Ford jolts auto industry with $11 billion investment in electric vehicles      - | -     Pak woman principal sentenced to death for committing blasphemy      - | -     Democrats' aging leaders need all their skills for the task ahead      - | -     Deadly U.S. passenger train crashes in recent years, NTSB to investigate fatal Montana Amtrak derailment      - | -     Trump’s return to office 'would be a disaster' for US intel: Former DHS whistleblower      - | -     Question of Taliban's Recognition "Not on the table": Russia At UN      - | -     US rules out adding India or Japan to security alliance with Australia and UK      - | -     New York health chief, defender of Cuomo policies, resigning      - | -     Hubble finds 6 dead galaxies in space, baffling experts      - | -     Joe Biden has damaged U.S.-Europe relations even more than Donald Trump      - | -     China’s Evergrande says it has ‘resolved’ a scheduled payment      - | -     Florida Marijuana activists push for legalization on '22 Ballot: 'People are ready for it'      - | -     Ghost forests creep up U.S. East Coast      - | -     Donald Trump sues niece Mary Trump, New York Times for $100 million over disclosing tax documents      - | -     Google expands in New York with $2.1 billion office purchase      - | -     CIA director's team member reported Havana Syndrome symptoms during India trip      - | -     A life and death question for regulators: Is Tesla’s Autopilot safe?      - | -     George Holliday, who shot video of police beating Rodney King, dies      - | -     Elon Musk mocks Biden for ignoring his company's historic space flight     - | -     COVID creates shortages of an array of U.S. medical supplies     - | -     FBI searches family home of fiancé Brian Laundrie after her likely remains were found #vanlife     - | -     The Biden cat's arrival to the White House has been delayed     - | -     Top U.S. General confirms Chinese, nuclear meetings but denies anti-Trump Plot      - | -     Russia still largest driver of disinformation on social media, Facebook report finds      - | -     Human remains found inside 500-pound alligator. How common are alligator attacks?      - | -     'New' Van Gogh drawing to go on display in Amsterdam museum      - | -     1 in every 500 US residents have died of Covid-19      - | -     Facebook draws lawmaker scrutiny over Instagram's impact on teens      - | -     Donald Trump's mental health becomes an issue again      - | -     Pakistan's Imran Khan says world should give Taliban 'time' on human rights but fears 'chaos' without aid      - | -     COVID-Sniffing dogs at miami airport have 99 percent accuracy at detecting infections      - | -     Biden vaccine plan hinges on rarely used rule, inviting legal challenges      - | -     New York city schools reopen to a mixture of fear and relief      - | -     U.S. COVID deaths highest since march, with Mississippi hit hardest      - | -     FBI releases newly declassified document on Saudi government's role in 9/11 attacks      - | -     Former Navy Commander Sentenced to Life in Prison for ‘Heinous’ Sexual Abuse and Child Pornography of a Family Member      - | -     Stop mounting your TVs above the fireplace: Why it's actually a terrible idea      - | -     What a CDC report says about vaccine effectiveness against the Delta variant      - | -     Pro-China misinformation operation attempting to exploit US Covid divisions      - | -     FBI releases new videos of suspect who planted pipe bombs outside RNC, DNC      - | -     Telemedicine abortion gets restricted in new executive order by South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem      - | -     Geronimo the alpaca, who UK health officials killed thinking he had bovine tuberculosis, might not have been sick      - | -     20 years on, 9/11 mastermind still awaits Guantanamo trial      - | -     Medicine is an imperfect science – but you can still trust its process      - | -     Trump's inner circle says after Afghan debacle he will run in 2024      - | -     J&J Shot study shows Covid infections halved in health workers      - | -     U.S. probing nearly 350 reports of oil spills in wake of Hurricane Ida      - | -     How to protect children under 12 from Covid-19, according to Fauci      - | -     TikTok, live streaming, and 'creator economy' quickly changing social apps landscape      - | -     Relatives of MH17 victims speak of trauma in court      - | -     Doctors in Covid-19 are 'surprised and disappointed' at new record hospitalizations      - | -     Singing star Sarah Harding dies at 39 after cancer fight      - | -     As Donald Trump makes noise about 2024, Melania Trump tries to stay out of the public eye      - | -     COVID vaccine boosters: When is it time for that extra shot? Here's what we know      - | -     At least 46 dead after flooding overwhelms NYC, Northeast      - | -     States that had some of the worst Covid-19 case rates in past week also reported the highest rates of new vaccinations      - | -     There's now an official Trump Card design, and getting one will cost you $45      - | -     British defense secretary suggests US is no longer a superpower after Afghanistan withdrawal      - | -     15M Covid vaccine doses have been wasted in the U.S. since March, new data shows      - | -     As Biden falters, a two-man race for the 2024 GOP nomination begins to take shape      - | -     What Hurricane Ida Means for Louisiana's COVID-19 Problem      - | -     Mu COVID variant, which scientists fear is resistant to vaccines, detected in 39 countries      - | -     Ida left more than 1 million without power for possibly weeks, and now comes the scorching heat      - | -     Florida woman hospitalized with Covid returns home to find husband dead of same disease      - | -     Radioactive snakes could help scientists track fallout from Fukushima Disaster      - | -     Covid third wave could peak between Oct-Nov in India; intensity expected to be 1/4 of second wave      - | -     One dead, New Orleans without power as Hurricane Ida slams Louisiana      - | -     Fear and anticipation on the streets of Kabul as Afghans adapt to Taliban rule      - | -     Florida radio host 'Mr. Anti-Vax' dies of COVID-19      - | -     This new antibody can stop all COVID-19 strains, including new variants, experts say      - | -     Biden on terror attack in Afghanistan, eviction moratorium blocked among others      - | -     Biden and Trump battle over what could have been in Afghanistan      - | -     Alone in the sky, pilot and fiancee save 17 in Tenn. flood      - | -     Experts find 231 million year-old fossil, ancestor to most reptiles      - | -     With more than 100,000 people in the hospital with Covid-19, this August is worse than last, expert says      - | -     Nearly two dozen San Diego, California, students and their families are stuck in Afghanistan      - | -     California looking to pay drug addicts to stay sober      - | -     Will an asteroid ever hit Earth? NASA scientist gives reassuring answer      - | -     Biden receives inconclusive intelligence report on covid origins      - | -     Why Biden will end the final mission in Afghanistan in just 7 days?      - | -     China wants families to have three children. But many women aren't convinced      - | -     Strange wasp nests glow neon green under UV light      - | -     Twin babies were 'swept away' in Tennessee floods that killed at least 22      - | -     Kathy Hochul sworn in as 1st female New York governor; Cuomo blasts state attorney general      - | -     Why India's outbreak is a threat to the world     - | -     Suspected smuggling boat tragedy in San Diego adds to Biden's migrant crisis woes     - | -     Maryland votes to nix state song, a Confederate call to arms     - | -     Kim Janey rewrites history, Boston's first Black and female mayor     - | -     Gunman kills 10 at Colorado supermarket in second US mass shooting in a week     - | -     Kamala Harris laughs when asked if she will visit the border raises sharp criticism online     - | -     Roger Stone under fresh scrutiny as Capitol attack investigation intensifies     - | -     Vaccines will likely not be mandatory for teachers: Biden’s Education Secretary     - | -     Fauci warns about potential for an oncoming resurgence of virus if restrictions eased     - | -     Biden plug relief to Americans, celebrates 'transformational' victory on COVID-19 relief     - | -     LA Schools to Reopen in mid-April & NY City will open high schools next week     - | -     Women are tired of explaining to men like Andrew Cuomo why sexual harassment is wrong     - | -     Biden signs orders on gender equity, nominates two women to be four-star commanders     - | -     Nation takes baby steps to normality after year in lockdown; "The virus isn't going to go away," says Harvard epidemiologist     - | -     Rumours of vaccine site giving jabs to anyone because of low demand. Hundreds lined up     - | -     Vaccine supply will "dramatically" increase in weeks ahead: Fauci     - | -     Biden calls it "Neanderthal thinking" slams Texas and Mississippi's decisions to lift COVID-19 mask mandates     - | -     This Is What GOP Feared. Now that Trump Has Governed with Executive Orders, Dems Plan to Do Same      - | -     Man Throwing 'Incendiary Devices' at ICE Detention Center Is Killed in Attack      - | -     Mueller Hearing Pushed Back a Week to Allow More Time for Him to Answer Questions      - | -     Trump Tells 4 Congresswomen of Color to 'Go Back' to 'Crime-Infested' Countries They Came From      - | -     GOP Congressman Invokes 'The Deep State'

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What Are Trump's Options to Better His Chances in the Election? Part 3

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What Are Trump's Options to Better His Chances in the Election? Part 3

2020-06-15 21:47:35

By Laura Tucker, Staff writer; Image: Donald Trump wearing MAGA hat (Image source: Gage Skidmore via Wikimedia Commons)

In the first two installments in this three-part series, we have examined why Donald Trump can't unilaterally change the date of the election and what he could do to possibly better his chances of winning in November. If things continue along the same path, what are his chances compared to the presumptive Democratic candidate, former Vice President Joe Biden? 

One thing that many discuss is that in 2016, many Democrats were very sure that Trump was going to lose to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. He did, in fact, lose the popular vote, though he still refuses to admit it, by 3 million votes. He won in the electoral college, however, taking some states narrowly that had been assumed she would win.

What were the polls saying in June 2016, though? Like Biden, polls were giving Clinton a double-digit lead. They also had some interference from Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson taking a small chunk, so even with double digits, she still didn't have 50 percent. 

But this was before Russia intercepted emails from the Democratic National Committee and before they were published in WikiLeaks. It was in the midst of the drama of Clinton's scandal of using her personal email server when she was secretary of state. Former FBI director James Comey went back and forth between clearing her and reopening the investigation, nailing the coffin shut a few days before the election, announcing there were still issues. She looked to be a lock to win at that point, but her favorability dropped.

Conversely, Trump had a scandal of his own with the Access Hollywood tape that showed him discussing women in unkind, vulgar terms. In the end, it seems voters decided they would rather take a philandering sex abuser than someone whom they didn't think was telling the truth. 

Four years later, though, Trump has become notorious for not telling the truth, so that changes the game a little. Biden, however, is seen as an honest grandfatherly type, no matter how much Trump and his cronies try to push the idea that he was doing something illegal in Ukraine to help his son. The narrative just isn't playing out. Nor is the narrative that he is also a sexual abuser. Tara Reade has had difficulty with believability after her claim about Biden. He's still seen as being more honest than Trump.

What will hurt Trump the most, though, in 2020, is the knowledge that voters know who he is now, whereas they didn't in 2016. He promised many things to appease his base, but he never released plans of how he would do it. He's also been secretive about his finances. He has bucked tradition and refused to release his finances before the election in 2016. He promised he would later, but four years later, he still hasn't. 

Despite this, voters are still giving him the edge to fix the economy over Biden. This is because people were doing well before the coronavirus hit.  He was riding the financial trajectory that was started in 2009. The Great Recession started in 2008 under former President George W. Bush, and in the first year of former President Barack Obama's presidency, the economy bottomed out. He turned it around, and it continued on an upturn.

Trump was elected based in part on him being able to fix the economy. He did provide corporate America with a tax cut, insisting it would trickle down to increasing household income, but that point was never really reached

Despite this, the economy was still much better than the lowest point in 2009, and Trump took the credit. It seemed like he planned on riding that wave to Election Day, but the coronavirus pandemic hit, unemployment hit incredible highs, and the stock market plummeted, tanking the economy.

Trump had no fix. The only thing he could muster was to demand businesses open again to get people back to work and get the economy moving. It's beginning to pick up, but it's going to be far from normal by November. The Federal Reserve chair is predicting unemployment will be 9.3 percent by the end of the year and 6.5 percent by the end of 2021. And again, this isn't something Trump did to fix it, it's just a natural progression as places begin to reopen and people start going back to work. 

This will leave voters having to decide whether they trust Trump enough to ride the tide with him, knowing he has no quick fixes, or whether they will trust Biden.

But along with the pandemic, there was another issue that picked up importance this year, and that's race relations. The death of George Floyd at the knee of a police officer changed everything. 

In 2015, 34 percent of black voters said race relations were extremely important to them. In June 2020, 61 percent of black voters say the same. That's a big change. Additionally, 42 percent of Americans as a whole are saying it's extremely important to their vote this fall. This makes it as important to them as the economy and health care, which was affected as well because of the pandemic.

Where does this leave us? Trump holds a slight edge with respect to the economy. He notoriously suggested odd things during the health crisis, namely ingesting Clorox and the like, yet is still making moves to dismantle the Affordable Care Act, at a time when people need it the most. 

And that last issue of importance is race relations. Many people will never be able to forget the site on Memorial Day of the National Guard and the Park Police removing peaceful protesters with tear gas and rubber bullets from Lafayette Square so that Trump could walk to a nearby church and hold up a bible for a photo op, never entering into any type of worship at all.

Conversely, Biden does extremely well with black voters. He leads Trump 88 to 9 percent with black voters in a poll taken after Trump walked to the church, numbers that are slightly better than Clinton's in 2017. He's seen as the best at handling race relations, too, with 52 to 34 percent. 

But once you take away all the numbers and positioning, many people will never forget that they spent their Memorial Day holiday either locked up inside or wearing a face mask because Trump refused to recognize the pandemic as a problem until it was too late. And at the end of that weekend, they watched Trump walk, without a face mask, to a place of worship for a photo op after tear gas was used on Americans exercising their First Amendment rights.

Many Americans are never going to forget that. 

Be sure to also read Part 1 and Part 2 of this series.

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