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2019-09-09 13:01:261 Oct 2018 01:53 AM EST
As we go further along through the Democratic 2020 presidential election debates, the field is getting further apart between the top tier and the also-rans, with a few candidates dropping out recently realizing their messages were not stirring any reactions from the public.
The top three seems to continue to pull further and further away, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. While former Vice President Joe Biden is still leading the race, together with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), the three are far ahead of the rest of the pack that once included 24 candidates.
Biden, Sanders, and Warren are the only Democratic candidates who have their supporters numbering in double digits, according to the poll. All the others are trailing behind with only single digits in their support.
Biden and Sanders have been at the top among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents since the last Washington Post-ABC survey conducted two months ago. However, Warren has joined them in the top three with equal numbers to Sanders. In July the public was taking notice of Sen. Kamala Harris's (D-CA) message after her first debate performance, but she's since fallen back in with the rest of the pack, though she still tops the others in the lower tier.
Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO), Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, former HUD secretary Julian Castro, former Rep. John Delaney (D-MD), Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH), and author Marianne Williamson all have support from less than 0.5 percent of those polled for the nomination.
Billionaire Tom Steyer, New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, and Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) have 1 percent, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) have 2 percent, businessman Andrew Yang and former Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) are pulling 3 percent, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is pulling 3 percent, and Harris 7 percent. Warren has 18 percent support, Sanders 19 percent, and Biden 29 percent.
It's even more bleak for the other candidates once you get to who has the best chance to beat Donald Trump in the general election. Everyone other than Biden, Sanders, Warren, and Harris has either 0, less than 0.5, or 1 percent support in beating him. Warren has 12 percent, Sanders 14 percent, and Biden nearly half with 45 percent.
When the question was phrased who would be the best president for this country, Gabbard, Klubuchar, Delaney, and Ryan picked up 1 percent. O'Rourke 2 percent, Yang 3 percent, Harris and Buttigieg 5 percent each, Sanders 16 percent, Warren 20 percent, and Biden not too much further ahead of her with 24 percent. All the rest have less than 0.5 percent.
As reference, a similar Post-ABC poll in September 2015 had Donald Trump with 33 percent of the support among registered leaned Republicans, current HUD Secretary Ben Carson with 20 percent, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 8 percent, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) with 7 percent, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (D-FL) with 7 percent.
Among Democrats that same month, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had 42 percent, Sanders had 24 percent, and Biden, who had not yet announced either way whether he was running, had 21 percent.
In other words, the two candidates with the highest totals in September 2015 went on to win their party's nominations. Though the candidate with the highest percentage of both parties did not win the electoral college, though she did win the popular vote. That said, Biden's polling has significantly showed him to have an advantage over Trump in the general election.
The current field of Democratic candidates could take further shape after the third debate taking place in Houston on Thursday night. It will be the first time Biden, Sanders, and Warren have been on stage debating at the same time.
Only 10 candidates qualified for the debate, with some dropping out of the race just after realizing they would not qualify.
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